Accepted Answer
Dec 01, 2024
Venture Capital Performance Varies by Vintage Year
- Vintage year significantly impacts top-decile performance
- In strong bull markets top-decile funds achieve higher TVPI/DPI/IRR than in weaker markets
Fund Stage Affects Metrics
- Early-stage funds (pre-seed/ seed):
- Often have higher TVPI, DPI and IRR because they target companies with exponential growth potential
- TVPI: 3x-5x, with outliers hitting 10x+
- DPI: 1x-3x+, as distributions often lag behind unrealized value
- IRR: 25%-40%, but some vintage years and markets can push this higher
- Later-stage funds (growth/late-stage):
- Have lower top-decile metrics because investments are closer to exit and valuations are more stable
- TVPI: 2x-3x
- DPI 1.5x-3x reflecting faster distributions
- IRR: 15%-25%, as shorter holding periods reduce compounding potential but improve cash efficiency
- Definitions are Contextual:
- Top decile represents the top 10% funds by performance in each dataset or market environment
- Often have higher TVPI, DPI and IRR because they target companies with exponential growth potential
- TVPI: 3x-5x, with outliers hitting 10x+
- DPI: 1x-3x+, as distributions often lag behind unrealized value
- IRR: 25%-40%, but some vintage years and markets can push this higher
- Have lower top-decile metrics because investments are closer to exit and valuations are more stable
- TVPI: 2x-3x
- DPI 1.5x-3x reflecting faster distributions
- IRR: 15%-25%, as shorter holding periods reduce compounding potential but improve cash efficiency
- Top decile represents the top 10% funds by performance in each dataset or market environment