How is runway in months calculated for a startup?
Community Member
Accepted Answer
May 03, 2023
Generally speaking, runway is measured as how long the company can operate without a cash infusion at a steady state or with growth. If the startup can only last two weeks without a cash infusion, then their runway is two weeks.
With respect to waiting until someone pays a bill “in a month,” there is a lot of unknowns. This would need to be diligenced before accepting as a fact. Many customers pay late. Not everyone renews licenses, etc.
You may need to bridge the company to the revenues with some padding. If 100% of the customers paid on time and the full amount, what would their runway be? What would rehearsal runway be if 50% paid?
Generally, when you bridge a company you take special offerings, like warrant coverage, and you may do it in a less friendly vehicle, like convertible debt. It can also be done at the last round valuation.
Proceed with caution, as a bridge to nowhere becomes piers, and this has happens quite a bit. You need to make a bridge with real conviction.